18 accepted markets in this board.
Creator / CEO claims
Musk deadline board
Flagship board for Elon-linked delivery claims, launches, and deadline promises.
Creator / CEO claims family context.
Closes 2026-09-30
Markets
Accepted markets in this board
openDOGE produces $150 billion in FY2026 savings by September 30, 2026
Musk said DOGE would produce $150 billion in savings in fiscal year 2026 after earlier, much larger savings targets were dialed back.
openxAI will catch up to Anthropic, Google, and OpenAI by end of 2026On March 14, 2026, Musk claimed on X that xAI would catch up to Anthropic, Google, and OpenAI "this year" after a ranking placed xAI ~7 months behind. xAI currently trails on major benchmarks for reasoning, coding, and multimodal tasks.
openCybercab volume production starts during 2026Tesla’s Q4 2024 shareholder deck says the purpose-built Robotaxi product, Cybercab, is scheduled for volume production starting in 2026.
openOptimus becomes a fully software-customizable robot by December 31, 2026Electrek’s shareholder meeting coverage records Musk saying that by 2026 Optimus would become a fully software-customizable robot.
openSpaceX sends its first uncrewed Starships to Mars by December 31, 2026Musk said SpaceX would launch the first uncrewed Starships to Mars in 2026 to test intact landings ahead of later crewed missions.
bustedTesla starts selling Optimus to external customers by December 31, 2025During Tesla’s Q1 2024 results, Musk said Tesla could begin selling Optimus to customers outside the company by the end of 2025.
bustedTesla has one thousand to two thousand Optimus robots working in factories by December 31, 2025At the shareholder meeting, Musk said Tesla should have a thousand to a couple thousand Optimus robots working in its factories next year.
bustedSpaceX launches people to Mars by December 31, 2024At Code 2016, Musk said SpaceX intended to launch people to Mars in 2024, with arrival in 2025.
bustedxAI releases Grok 3 by December 31, 2024Musk said Grok 3 was targeted for the end of 2024, but the launch slid into 2025.
bustedX launches peer-to-peer payments by December 31, 2024X said it would launch peer-to-peer payments in 2024 as part of the everything-app product expansion.
bustedOptimus performs real tasks in actual Tesla factories by December 31, 2024Musk said Optimus would move from lab tasks into actual Tesla factory work before the end of 2024.
bustedDedicated Tesla Robotaxi is unveiled on August 8, 2024Musk posted that the Tesla Robotaxi reveal would happen on August 8, 2024. The event later slipped to October 10.
bustedNeuralink implants its first human by December 31, 2023Musk said Neuralink was confident it could implant its first human in 2023, but the first public human implant came in 2024.
bustedTesla launches a robotaxi network and puts over one million robotaxis on the road by December 31, 2020At Autonomy Day, Musk said Tesla would launch robotaxis in 2020 and have over a million on the road next year.
bustedSolarCity ramps Solar Roof output to 1,000 roofs per week by December 31, 2019Musk said Tesla would ramp Solar Roof production to around 1,000 roofs per week by the end of 2019, extending the long-running energy promises inherited from SolarCity.
bustedBoring completes the LAX-to-101 Los Angeles tunnel within a year of November 30, 2017Musk said he hoped to get the tunnel from LAX along the 405 to the 101 underway within a year or so, but the broader Los Angeles plan was later scrapped.
bustedHyperloop secures formal approvals and breaks ground on the NYC-to-DC route by December 31, 2017After claiming verbal government approval, Musk’s camp said it expected to secure the formal approvals needed to break ground on the East Coast Hyperloop later in 2017.
bustedCoast-to-coast self-driving demo lands by December 31, 2017Tesla said a car would drive from Los Angeles to New York with no human intervention by the end of 2017.