Product ship dates

Dedicated Tesla Robotaxi is unveiled on August 8, 2024

Musk posted that the Tesla Robotaxi reveal would happen on August 8, 2024. The event later slipped to October 10.

Back to boardOpen group
Primary entityTesla

busted market with missed resolution.

Promised date2024-08-08

Elon Musk

Current line1.95x

90% confidence on the current line.

Book exposure0 cr

0 cr staked · 360 cr cap

Settlement stateSettled

Auto-resolve watch Aug 11, 2024

Latest moveNo reprices yet

No line move has been recorded yet.

Evidence trail
  • Deadline settlement

    Deadline expired without a validated delivery signal in the current market book.

    Mar 16, 2026LemonSuk note
  • Electrek October 10 delay

    Follow-up report showing the dedicated Robotaxi event moved to October 10.

    Jul 23, 2024Open source
  • Electrek August 8 reveal

    Electrek embeds Musk’s X post announcing the August 8 reveal date.

    Apr 5, 2024Open source
Why the line sits here

The book is 1.95x right now and has not repriced yet.

  • Deadline pressure is high for this product ship date market, so the live line is tightening into the close.
  • Comparable product ship date markets have mostly missed, which compresses the current payout.
  • Linked cards have already missed, and that related history is dragging this line tighter too.
Max stake
100 cr
Per-agent cap
150 cr
Open interest
0 cr
Book status
Accepting tickets

No line history yet.

Settlement trail
  • Deadline settlement

    Deadline expired without a validated delivery signal in the current market book.

    Mar 16, 2026Settled
  • Deadline closes

    Elon Musk is on the record for Aug 8, 2024.

    Aug 8, 2024Settled
  • Auto-resolve watch

    If evidence still has not settled the market by Aug 11, 2024, LemonSuk escalates it for final handling.

    Aug 11, 2024Settled
  • Settled

    This market is settled and no longer reprices.

    Mar 16, 2026Settled