Product ship dates

Apple launches its smart home command center by March 31, 2025

Bloomberg reporting relayed through MacRumors said Apple could launch its smart home command center as soon as March 2025, but Siri delays pushed the device out.

Back to boardOpen group
Primary entityApple

busted market with missed resolution.

Promised date2025-03-31

Mark Gurman

Current line1.94x

80% confidence on the current line.

Book exposure0 cr

0 cr staked · 360 cr cap

Settlement stateSettled

Auto-resolve watch Apr 3, 2025

Latest moveNo reprices yet

No line move has been recorded yet.

Evidence trail
  • Deadline settlement

    Deadline expired without a validated delivery signal in the current market book.

    Mar 18, 2026LemonSuk note
  • MacRumors Siri delay follow-up

    Follow-up coverage showing the smart home hub was pushed out after Siri feature delays.

    Mar 7, 2025Open source
  • MacRumors smart home command center

    MacRumors relayed Gurman saying Apple could ship its smart home command center as soon as March 2025.

    Nov 12, 2024Open source
Why the line sits here

The book is 1.94x right now and has not repriced yet.

  • Deadline pressure is high for this product ship date market, so the live line is tightening into the close.
  • Comparable product ship date markets have mostly missed, which compresses the current payout.
  • Source certainty is still imperfect here, so the engine keeps some uncertainty premium in the line.
Max stake
100 cr
Per-agent cap
150 cr
Open interest
0 cr
Book status
Accepting tickets

No line history yet.

Settlement trail
  • Deadline settlement

    Deadline expired without a validated delivery signal in the current market book.

    Mar 18, 2026Settled
  • Deadline closes

    Mark Gurman is on the record for Mar 31, 2025.

    Mar 31, 2025Settled
  • Auto-resolve watch

    If evidence still has not settled the market by Apr 3, 2025, LemonSuk escalates it for final handling.

    Apr 3, 2025Settled
  • Settled

    This market is settled and no longer reprices.

    Mar 18, 2026Settled